Working Papers

Intra-Household Behavioral Responses to Cash Transfer Programs: Evidence From a Regression Discontinuity Design
(with Estefanía Galván) - Submitted
Research question: How Conditional Cash Transfers (CCT) programs in developing countries affect intra-household socio-economic outcomes?
(1) IZA WP 

The Anatomy of Behavioral Responses to Social Assistance When Informal Employment is High 
(with Guillermo Cruces) - Revise and resubmit, American Economic Journal: Economic Policy
Research questions: How do the effects of social assistance vary across the distribution of individuals’ propensities to be employed formally?; Along which behavioral margins do they respond the most? Informality or real non-participation?; What is the size of the responses relative to the financial incentives? ; Which are the welfare implications from the observed behavioral responses in registered employment?
(1) IZA WP 
(Part of this work circulated previously as "Work incentives and Welfare Programs. Evidence on Real and Reporting Effects")

Publications & Forthcoming Papers

Labor-Market Scars When Youth Unemployment Is Extremely High: Evidence from Macedonia
(with Marjan Petreski and Nikica Mojsoska-Blazevski)Eastern European Economics Accepted, 2016
Objectives: first, to investigate the determinants of the duration of unemployment spell of youth in a developing context; and second, to assess how the unemployment spell duration affects later employment (the employment ‘scarring’ effect) and wage outcomes (the wage ‘scarring’ effect). 
(1) IZA WP 

Work and tax evasion incentive effects of social insurance programs. Evidence from an employment-based benefit extension
(with Guillermo Cruces), Journal of Public Economics 117, 211-228, 2014  
Research question: How social insurance programs shape individual's incentives to take up registered employment and to report earnings to the tax authorities?
(1) IZA WP (2) FOCO (3) VOX,  slides (3) data (3) prensa

Las Transferencias Públicas y su Impacto Distributivo: La Experiencia de los Países del Cono Sur en la Década de 2000
(with Javier Alejo and Fedora Carbajal), El Trimestre Económico 81(1), 163-198, 2014
Research question: To what extent do monetary public transfers to households affect income inequality of the Southern Cone countries in the 2000s?
(1) CEDLAS WP (2) VOX 

Informality, Contributory and Non Contributory Programmes. Recent Reforms to the Social Protection System in Uruguay
(with Guillermo Cruces), Development Policy Review 31(5), 531-551, 2013
Research question: What are the the incentive effects for formal and informal employment from social-protection reforms implemented in Uruguay in the 1990s and 2000s?
(1) FOCO (2) wp,slides (3) data (3) prensa

Robustness of Vulnerability Estimators. Evidence from Panel Data for Argentina and Chile
(with Guillermo Cruces and Andrés Ham), Journal of Income Distribution 21(1), 28-64, 2012  
Research question: What is the effectiveness - i.e. the predictive power, of vulnerability indicators to forecast future poverty states? 
(1) WP
Exploring the urban-rural labor income gap in Uruguay: a quantile regression decomposition
(with Fedora Carbajal), Economic Analysis Review 25(2): Special Issue: Inequality and income mobility in Latinamerica, 133-168, 2010 
Research question: To what extent do differences in workers characteristics and returns to work explain the urban-rural labor income gap in Uruguay?

Selected Work in Progress

Optimal Auditing for Tax Collection: Structural Estimates from a Large-Scale Field Experiment 
(with Rodrigo Ceni, Guillermo Cruces, Ricardo Perez-Truglia and Matias Giaccobasso)
Research question: Which channels are the most effective to improve Value Added Tax compliance in weak enforcement environments as those faced in less developed countries? 

Tax Bunching at the Kink in the Presence of Low Capacity of Enforcement: Evidence From Uruguay
(with Gabriel Burdin, Mauricio De Rosa, Martín Leites, and Matias Giaccobasso)
Objective: In this project we exploit a rich and large administrative tax dataset using bunching design aiming to explore how individuals' taxable labor income respond to personal income taxation in Uruguay

Unpublished Manuscripts

Are there ethnic inequality traps in education? Empirical evidence from Brazil and Chile
(with Adriana Conconi, Guillermo Cruces and Andrés Ham) PMMA Working Paper 2012-04, 2012

Privaciones nutricionales: su vínculo con la pobreza y el ingreso monetario
(with Martín Leites and Gonzalo Salas)Serie Documentos de Trabajo # 03/06, 2006